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faust.jpgRecently the folks at Amazon have been put into a vicious corner. They are trapped between a growing consumer base who they are diligently serving and a recalcitrant supplier who wants to redraw the balance of power. Make no mistake folks the “balance of power” in e-book pricing is finally being firmly challenged by a major publisher. As Chris Meadows wisely reminded us Amazon is currently trapped in an economic death funnel. The only way forward is through Macmillan and there are literally a million plus people pushing Amazon further into this quagmire. If I were Jeff Bezos I would be thinking about whether or not I can hold out much longer. Windowing releases and/or charging Amazon exorbitant prices is one thing but outright bullying is another. Unfortunately, for e-book aficionados our window to prevent the raping of e-books is closing in on us.As Chris reminded us in Economics there is something known as resale price maintenance in which a supplier dictates terms to a distributor. Where he left off I will begin by highlighting two concepts, one known as Cartelization, the other Path Dependency. Amazon is being pressured by publishers who are slowly circling their wagons and deciding to either alienate or ostracize Kindlers. Their power as gate keepers is being threatened by the rapid growth of e-books as well as self-publishing with their $9.99 and under equilibrium price. For months a divided yet spirited Kindle community has fought a good fight and emboldened Amazon into actually adhering to its initial “low price-high volume” model. But like the Bible’s warrior Samson this remarkable duo has a glaring weakness: their insatiable need for high quality books.

Traditional publishers excel more than anyone else at meeting this demand when they avoid the “normalization of deviance” concept which I covered in an earlier piece. Macmillan thinks that it has finally figured out how to get Kindlers to tow its line permanently: by completely cutting them off. Every boycotter’s nightmare scenario would be that other publishers may slowly follow suit, thus creating a tacit -soft- cartel. The only possible outcome of this –barring any legal intervention- would be the Amazonian equivalent of a Faustian bargain in which Amazon does as the publishers demand in order to keep the Kindle platform alive. This is where Path Dependency could kick in and it would create a harrowing future.

Presently Amazon constitutes 90% of the e-book market, and dictates what other distributors do. It established $9.99 pricing as a result of wisely listening to its passionate customers and other distributors followed suit. It has also introduced something that few other major e-book retailers have done which is to allow its self-published authors a chance to sell DRM free e-books, possibly opening the door to a future without DRM. Publishers over the next couple of months will nervously hedge their bets by backing Apple’s iPad and its outrageous pricing/DRM but they are not above kneecapping one of Apple’s largest competitors. If Macmillan wins I can’t help but picturing these intellectual ruffians, these maintainers of the undemocratic slush pile, sitting around like Orwell’s pigs re-establishing the cycle of domination that Kindlers have railed so hard against. Kindlers you must not go quietly into the night.

 
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