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kindlebookprices This ought to make the people at MarketIntellNow very happy (disclosure: it’s the outfit with the TeleBlog’s display ad in the upper right).

“Of the first 1,000 best-selling Kindle edition books, more than 97 percent are priced at or below $9.99,” reports Humayun Kabir, the guy behind the informative Kindle News—coincidentally confirming what MarketIntelNow said in a research report.

“I found only 27 books” among the 1,000 that were “priced in the range of $10 to $30,” Humayun says. “The prices of a big number of books are close to $4 to $5. In other words, average selling price of an e-book is in-between $5 and $9. It seems readers are buying ebooks those have lower price. Most of the best selling ebooks are NYTimes best sellers, fictions, romance, ‘how-to’, thrillers, mysteries, fantasies or similar kind of books.”

Complexities to consider

Granted, there are some variables to consider. Among the 90,000+ Kindle titles, just how many high-priced books are out there, and are they on popular subjects? Perhaps buyers of specialized academic and professional books will be less price sensitive (I’d love to see Humayan do further research, building on his valuable work).

Still, in terms of the mainstream e-book market, price is where it’s at. Humayun’s numbers seem to jibe beautifully with the conclusion of MarketIntellNow’s research report, as summed up in our headline Lower e-book prices, not gizmos like the Amazon Kindle, will be the big spur for book sales. Yes, the Kindle’s ease of downloading e-books via wireless will help whet novices’ interest in E. But notice? Price is a major driver. As I see it, and as Humayun apparently does, too, Amazon sellers could charge more if the books weren’t DRMed. Copy protection detracts from the value of books to consumers.

The hardback angle…

Meanwhile I can’t help but notice the vast gap between Kindle prices and those of hardbacks, for which the industry typically demands $20 and up here in the States.

Given Picador UK’s playing down of the hardback format, with other publishers perhaps to follow, could the new slogan of the day be: “Hardback is Dead”—at least for the long term? Or maybe not? It will be fascinating to see whether the Kindle, meant to appeal to book-oriented people beyond the usual e-bookers, will eat into the hardback market.

…and the Kindle-Fictionwise relationship…

“I found around 1,500 kindle editions are under $1 as of December 4, 2007,” Humayun reports. “On the top graph, you can see how they are distributed for a selected range of prices. However, what is notable is that Fictionwise.com, which has its own e-book outlet in a variety of e-book formats, is also selling Kindle editions on the Amazon Web site, and 90% of the 1,500 e-books are solely distributed by Fictionwise.com.”

Meanwhile see some Kindle-related thoughts from FW’s Steve Pendergrast, who, by the way, thinks that many Kindle books could be on specialized topics. I don’t know. Labels such as “sociology” could be applied to many popular-level books. I’ll welcome further thoughts from Steve and others.

…plus geographical issues

I notice that Humayun’s Blogger profile shows he is an accountant in New Zealand. Could this be yet another sign that the Kindle is potentially a huge international phenomenon? And yet right now, Amazon is really pitching it just to U.S. buyers. Territorially related copyright agreements are surely a factor here. How long until publishing adjust to the new realities? As Fritz Foy, a senior VP at Macmillan, has observed, the Kindle is calling new attention to the territoriality issues. Remember, Amazon sends you your machine pre-registered to you.

Coming later today—probably by 2 p.m. Washington time: More Kindle commentary, including some thoughts from Peter Osnos, founder and editor-at-large of PublicAffairs Books. He started the bookstore-oriented Caravan experiment but is rather gracious in his observations.

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