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brill Steven Brill, founder of Court TV and the Clear airport security bypass service (among other things) has a cogent summary of what is wrong with the newspaper industry and the New York Times in particular, as well as a plan to save it.

The article is worth reading for Brill’s analysis of the flaws in the New York Times‘s business model. However, it is less so for Brill’s proposed solution—as, just like Time‘s Walter Isaacson’s proposal, it involves micropayments.

All online articles will cost 10 cents each to read in full, with simple, one-step purchases powered by an I-Tunes-like Journalism infrastructure. (Apple, which turned my children from music pirates to music micro-buyers, could become a joint-venture participant, but that is hardly the only way to create a convenient payment engine.)

There are daily, monthly, and yearly subscription charges, and even a nickel fee for forwarding an article to someone else. There are other suggestions, as well—targeted advertising, even a merger with CNN—but the micropayment idea seems to be the big one.

The problem with this is, micropayment systems have been repeatedly shown not to work—even when they were founded by people who were well aware of previous schemes’ failure but were sure they had the right idea this time.

You just can’t change the aspect of human nature that makes people reluctant to pay even the tiniest amount for things. There’s a huge psychological gap between free and non-free, even when non-free is just a few pennies. (Clay Shirky has a great blog post along this line about the recent spate of micropayment suggestions.)

Even if they did manage to implement a workable micropayment system, it is uncertain just how much revenue such a thing could take in. Print newspapers make hardly any of their revenue off of subscription fees—and newspapers do not have to worry about print readers haring off to a free competitor’s site with a couple of clicks of a mouse.

Maybe someday someone will make a micropayment system that works. But I’m not holding my breath for it to be very soon.

 
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